TY - JOUR
T1 - Interaction of consumer preferences and climate policies in the global transition to low-carbon vehicles
AU - McCollum, David L.
AU - Wilson, Charlie
AU - Bevione, Michela
AU - Carrara, Samuel
AU - Edelenbosch, Oreane Y.
AU - Emmerling, Johannes
AU - Guivarch, Céline
AU - Karkatsoulis, Panagiotis
AU - Keppo, Ilkka
AU - Krey, Volker
AU - Lin, Zhenhong
AU - Ó Broin , Eoin
AU - Paroussos, Leonidas
AU - Pettifor, Hazel
AU - Ramea, Kalai
AU - Riahi, Keywan
AU - Sano, Fuminori
AU - Rodriguez, Baltazar Solano
AU - van Vuuren, Detlef P.
PY - 2018/8/1
Y1 - 2018/8/1
N2 - Burgeoning demands for mobility and private vehicle ownership undermine global efforts to reduce energy-related greenhouse gas emissions. Advanced vehicles powered by low-carbon sources of electricity or hydrogen offer an alternative to conventional fossil-fuelled technologies. Yet, despite ambitious pledges and investments by governments and automakers, it is by no means clear that these vehicles will ultimately reach mass-market consumers. Here, we develop state-of-the-art representations of consumer preferences in multiple global energy-economy models, specifically focusing on the non-financial preferences of individuals. We employ these enhanced model formulations to analyse the potential for a low-carbon vehicle revolution up to 2050. Our analysis shows that a diverse set of measures targeting vehicle buyers is necessary to drive widespread adoption of clean technologies. Carbon pricing alone is insufficient to bring low-carbon vehicles to the mass market, though it may have a supporting role in ensuring a decarbonized energy supply.
AB - Burgeoning demands for mobility and private vehicle ownership undermine global efforts to reduce energy-related greenhouse gas emissions. Advanced vehicles powered by low-carbon sources of electricity or hydrogen offer an alternative to conventional fossil-fuelled technologies. Yet, despite ambitious pledges and investments by governments and automakers, it is by no means clear that these vehicles will ultimately reach mass-market consumers. Here, we develop state-of-the-art representations of consumer preferences in multiple global energy-economy models, specifically focusing on the non-financial preferences of individuals. We employ these enhanced model formulations to analyse the potential for a low-carbon vehicle revolution up to 2050. Our analysis shows that a diverse set of measures targeting vehicle buyers is necessary to drive widespread adoption of clean technologies. Carbon pricing alone is insufficient to bring low-carbon vehicles to the mass market, though it may have a supporting role in ensuring a decarbonized energy supply.
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85049988692&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1038/s41560-018-0195-z
DO - 10.1038/s41560-018-0195-z
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85049988692
SN - 2058-7546
VL - 3
SP - 664
EP - 673
JO - Nature Energy
JF - Nature Energy
IS - 8
ER -
