Sequential testing for the stability of high frequency portfolio betas

Alexander Aue, Siegfried Hörmann, Lajos Horvath, M. Huskovà, J. Steinebach

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Abstract

Despite substantial criticism, variants of the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) remain to this day the primary statistical tools for portfolio managers to assess the performance of financial assets. In the CAPM, the risk of an asset is expressed through its correlation with the market, widely known as the beta. There is now a general consensus among economists that these portfolio betas are time-varying and that, consequently, any appropriate analysis has to take this variability into account. Recent advances in data acquisition and processing techniques have led to an increased research output concerning high-frequency models. Within this framework, we introduce here a modified functional CAPM and sequential monitoring procedures to test for the constancy of the portfolio betas. As our main results we derive the large-sample properties of these monitoring procedures. In a simulation study and an application to SP 100 data we show that our method performs well in finite samples.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)804-837
Number of pages34
JournalEconometric theory
Volume28
Issue number4
Publication statusPublished - 2012

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    Aue, A., Hörmann, S., Horvath, L., Huskovà, M., & Steinebach, J. (2012). Sequential testing for the stability of high frequency portfolio betas. Econometric theory, 28(4), 804-837.