TY - JOUR
T1 - A framework for national scenarios with varying emission reductions
AU - Fujimori, Shinichiro
AU - Krey, Volker
AU - van Vuuren, Detlef
AU - Oshiro, Ken
AU - Sugiyama, Masahiro
AU - Chunark, Puttipong
AU - Limmeechokchai, Bundit
AU - Mittal, Shivika
AU - Nishiura, Osamu
AU - Park, Chan
AU - Rajbhandari, Salony
AU - Silva Herran, Diego
AU - Tu, Tran Thanh
AU - Zhao, Shiya
AU - Ochi, Yuki
AU - Shukla, Priyardarshi R.
AU - Masui, Toshihiko
AU - Nguyen, Phuong V.H.
AU - Cabardos, Anique Marie
AU - Riahi, Keywan
N1 - Funding Information:
S.F., K.O., D.S.H. and T.M. are supported by the Environment Research and Technology Development Fund (grant numbers JPMEERF20192008 and JPMEERF20211001) of the Environmental Restoration and Conservation Agency of Japan. S.F. and K.O. are supported by JSPS KAKENHI (19H02273) and the Sumitomo Foundation. S.F., K.O., V.K., D.v.V., K.R., B.L. and T.T.T received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement number 821471 (ENGAGE). C.P. was supported by the International Research & Development Program of the National Research Foundation of Korea (NRF) funded by the Ministry of Science and ICT (grant number NRF2019K1A3A1A7811297311).
Publisher Copyright:
© 2021, Springer Nature Limited.
PY - 2021/6
Y1 - 2021/6
N2 - National-level climate actions will be vital in achieving global temperature goals in the coming decades. Near-term (2025–2030) plans are laid out in Nationally Determined Contributions; the next step is the submission of long-term strategies for 2050. At present, national scenarios underpinning long-term strategies are poorly coordinated and incompatible across countries, preventing assessment of individual nations’ climate policies. Here we present a systematic and standardized, yet flexible, scenario framework varying 2050 emissions to build long-term national energy and climate mitigation scenarios. Applying the framework to six major Asian countries reveals individual challenges in energy system transformation and investment needs in comparable scenarios. This framework could be a starting point for comprehensive assessments as input to the Global Stocktake over the coming years.
AB - National-level climate actions will be vital in achieving global temperature goals in the coming decades. Near-term (2025–2030) plans are laid out in Nationally Determined Contributions; the next step is the submission of long-term strategies for 2050. At present, national scenarios underpinning long-term strategies are poorly coordinated and incompatible across countries, preventing assessment of individual nations’ climate policies. Here we present a systematic and standardized, yet flexible, scenario framework varying 2050 emissions to build long-term national energy and climate mitigation scenarios. Applying the framework to six major Asian countries reveals individual challenges in energy system transformation and investment needs in comparable scenarios. This framework could be a starting point for comprehensive assessments as input to the Global Stocktake over the coming years.
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85106757342&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1038/s41558-021-01048-z
DO - 10.1038/s41558-021-01048-z
M3 - Review article
AN - SCOPUS:85106757342
SN - 1758-678X
VL - 11
SP - 472
EP - 480
JO - Nature Climate Change
JF - Nature Climate Change
IS - 6
ER -
